Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
St Pauli
18.7%
Draw
9.4%
Sandhausen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
St Pauli
vs
0.72
Sandhausen
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).