Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.9%
Paris SG
7.5%
Draw
2.6%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Paris SG
vs
0.38
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.4%
2-0
14.9%
4-0
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
5-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
1-1
3.4%
0-0
2.9%
5-1
2.8%
0-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).