Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Guimaraes
21.6%
Draw
18.5%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Guimaraes
vs
0.90
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).