Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.7%
Osasuna
25.9%
Draw
37.4%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Osasuna
vs
1.40
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).