Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Granada
26.0%
Draw
31.1%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Granada
vs
1.17
Malaga
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).