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27 Sept 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Heidenheim
28.6%
Draw
46.3%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Heidenheim

vs
1.43

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).