Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Wolves
29.7%
Draw
35.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Wolves
vs
1.33
Burnley
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).