Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Granada
24.6%
Draw
19.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Granada
vs
0.82
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).