Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Aldershot
23.3%
Draw
32.1%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Aldershot
vs
1.62
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).