Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Mallorca
25.8%
Draw
34.9%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Mallorca
vs
1.35
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).