Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Plymouth
28.4%
Draw
48.3%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Plymouth
vs
1.48
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).