Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Sociedad
22.9%
Draw
27.5%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Sociedad
vs
1.29
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).