Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Cittadella
31.2%
Draw
35.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Cittadella
vs
1.16
Crotone
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).