Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Scunthorpe
21.7%
Draw
59.9%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Scunthorpe
vs
1.83
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).