Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Barnet
26.2%
Draw
34.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Barnet
vs
1.17
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).