Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Barcelona
20.4%
Draw
16.7%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Barcelona
vs
1.01
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).