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DHT: 21CSV

24 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.6%
Queen of Sth
26.1%
Draw
61.4%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Queen of Sth

vs
1.76

Livingston

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).