Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Heidenheim
24.0%
Draw
17.1%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Heidenheim
vs
0.94
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).