Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Castellon
21.6%
Draw
19.8%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Castellon
vs
1.03
Albacete
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).