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AHT: 02CSV

21 Apr 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Angers
26.0%
Draw
52.2%
Paris SG

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Angers

vs
1.41

Paris SG

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).