Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Vålerenga
20.4%
Draw
27.0%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Vålerenga
vs
1.52
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS69.2%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
3-2
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).