Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Northampton
24.2%
Draw
44.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Northampton
vs
1.42
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).