Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Arka Gdynia
26.9%
Draw
43.8%
Katowice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Arka Gdynia
vs
1.57
Katowice
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).