Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.0%
St Johnstone
26.3%
Draw
58.7%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
St Johnstone
vs
1.57
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).