Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Gillingham
24.6%
Draw
20.8%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Gillingham
vs
0.78
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).