Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.4%
York
9.5%
Draw
4.1%
Fylde
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
York
vs
0.73
Fylde
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
5-1
4.5%
1-1
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).