Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Portimonense
23.9%
Draw
26.1%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Portimonense
vs
1.07
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).