Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Alaves
33.2%
Draw
17.6%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Alaves
vs
0.54
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS27.9%
Over 0.580.3%
Over 1.548.9%
Over 2.522.6%
Over 3.58.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.2%
0-0
19.7%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).