Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Villarreal
17.2%
Draw
12.5%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Villarreal
vs
0.98
Espanol
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).