Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Salzburg
25.6%
Draw
26.7%
Sturm Graz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Salzburg
vs
1.22
Sturm Graz
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).