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AHT: 21CSV

28 Apr 2024 · 16:05

Brest

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.5%
Rennes
20.9%
Draw
24.6%
Brest

Expected Goals (xG)

1.94

Rennes

vs
1.23

Brest

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
0-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).