Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Atalanta
28.9%
Draw
35.4%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Atalanta
vs
1.08
Milan
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).