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DHT: 11CSV

27 Aug 2022 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
Cercle Brugge
24.3%
Draw
36.2%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.59

Waregem

Markets

BTTS65.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).