Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Welling United
31.1%
Draw
41.6%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Welling United
vs
1.06
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-0
15.4%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).