Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Aris
33.7%
Draw
18.7%
Panetolikos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Aris
vs
0.62
Panetolikos
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
0-0
18.0%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.0%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).