Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Chesterfield
21.4%
Draw
18.5%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Chesterfield
vs
1.17
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).