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AHT: 01CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.6%
Eastleigh
24.8%
Draw
24.7%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Eastleigh

vs
1.22

Fylde

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).