Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Santa Clara
31.6%
Draw
34.5%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Santa Clara
vs
0.91
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
0-1
15.5%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).