Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Famalicao
20.2%
Draw
14.4%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Famalicao
vs
0.76
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).