Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Huesca
28.6%
Draw
29.1%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Huesca
vs
0.96
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).