Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Sheffield Weds
31.2%
Draw
47.2%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.26
Oxford
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).