Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Osasuna
24.9%
Draw
18.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Osasuna
vs
0.84
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).