Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Cray Valley (PM)
24.6%
Draw
27.0%
Evesham United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Cray Valley (PM)
vs
1.08
Evesham United
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).