Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
FC Koln
29.5%
Draw
17.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
FC Koln
vs
0.71
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).