Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Leganes
25.6%
Draw
29.9%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Leganes
vs
1.22
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).