Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Hamburg
26.7%
Draw
44.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Hamburg
vs
1.57
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).