Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Fakel
24.7%
Draw
69.3%
Krasnodar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32
Fakel
vs
1.62
Krasnodar
Markets
BTTS22.9%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.4%
0-2
18.8%
0-0
15.3%
0-3
10.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).