Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Las Palmas
23.1%
Draw
57.3%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Las Palmas
vs
1.84
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).