Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Stevenage
28.7%
Draw
32.5%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Stevenage
vs
0.93
Luton
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-1
13.9%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).