Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.1%
Northampton
28.9%
Draw
37.0%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Northampton
vs
1.01
Exeter
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
1-0
14.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).